Will the US publicly say it carried out a strike inside Iran or on Iranian government facilities by 12:00 PM on August 16, 2026 (Eastern US time)?

25%
-1% last 24h

61%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the most recent poll (the topmost row) in the 'Main voting-intention table' on the Wikipedia page 'Opinion polling for the 2027 Mexican legislative election' for Aug 29 shows PRI's numeric percentage strictly greater than MC's numeric percentage. Use the numeric percentages published by the pollster named in that topmost table row, or if the pollster's numbers are not available, use numbers reported by reputable Mexican or international news outlets reproducing that same poll. If the final authoritative source shows PRI and MC with identical numeric percentages, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 29, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 29, 2026. The outcome will be settled against en.wikipedia.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 61%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the last poll shows PRI at 10.2% and MC at 9.0%, PRI is ahead. With two weeks until resolution, this is likely to hold unless MC surprises us with a strong push.

25%
-1% last 24h

50%
Stable · last 24h

30%
Stable · last 24h

76%
Stable · last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h

19%
-3% last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy