Live prediction markets about Google. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
68%
crowd accuracy
78/115
right calls
27
open questions
Biggest miss
The crowd was 78% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
The crowd's YES odds since Oct 23
64%
Yes
Open questions27
- Will Google’s Gemini-powered audio smart glasses ship before December 31, 2026?Results Dec 3138 predictions76%Yes
- Will NVIDIA’s Vera CPU be adopted by a major cloud provider by the end of 2026?Results Jan 518 predictions27%Yes
- Will the Blackstone‑Google TPU cloud venture be serving enterprise customers by December 31, 2026?Results Jan 110 predictions44%Yes
How it turned out115
- Will Android developer verification be active in Brazil, Indonesia, Singapore and Thailand on September 30?Yes
The crowd was 81% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 1 - Will the Pixel Watch 5 get Blood Pressure and Insulin Resistance Trends in the US?Yes
The crowd was 59% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 1 - Will Google have over 20.0% of OpenRouter's text model market share?Yes
The crowd was 60% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 29 - Will Google's market share be above 19.3%?Yes
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 28 - Will Google's share on OpenRouter's 'market share by model author' chart be above 20.0%?Yes
The crowd was 52% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 28 - Will a Googlebook be available to pre-order on September 21?Yes
The crowd was 87% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 22 - Will Google allow customers to pre-order the "Googlebook" on September 21?Yes
The crowd was 95% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 22 - Will Google's market share in OpenRouter's 'text' model-author ranking be above 20.4%?No
The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 21 - Will Google's market share be above 19.1%?No
The crowd was 51% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 21 - Will Google's market share be above 19.7%?No
The crowd was 66% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 21