Will Google's market share in OpenRouter's 'text' model-author ranking be above 20.4%?

🤖 Context

YES if Kalshi's market with ticker KXGOOGSHARE-26SEP21-20.4 is marked "finalized" on Kalshi with an official settlement result of YES. Kalshi's settlement uses OpenRouter's published text market-share ranking for the week of September 14, 2026, using the 10:00 AM ET Monday updated values. If OpenRouter does not list "Google" separately (for example it is included in "Others"), or if the Kalshi ticker is not in a final "finalized" status, the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 21, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 87%, based on 36 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

87%

Predictions made

36

Credits staked

926

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 15, 2026

Closes

Sep 21, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 21, 2026

Resolution source

kalshi.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 21, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 21, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 87% and NO 13%, based on 36 predictions and 926 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against kalshi.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Google's market share in OpenRouter's 'text' model-author ranking be above 20.4%?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Google's market share in OpenRouter's 'text' model-author ranking be above 20.4%?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.