Will the HomeView be available to buy or ship on November 13?

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95%
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Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 21The market's rule requires that at any time during the UTC calendar day September 21, 2026, Google officially offer customers the ability to place a pre-order for a product it identifies as 'Googlebook'. On September 21, 2026 Google published a product blog post saying Googlebook pre-orders are open and directed customers to pre-order on the Google Store, and the official Googlebook shop page showed multiple models with active 'Pre-order' links, a fact Reuters and other outlets also reported. Those facts satisfy the rule, so the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled95%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 95% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Google's own product blog post (dated Sep 21, 2026) states that Googlebook pre-orders are now open and directs customers to pre-order at the Google Store. The official Googlebook shop page in the evidence shows multiple Googlebook models with active “Pre-order” links. Independent news coverage (Reuters, plus other outlets in the pool) also reports that Google opened pre-orders on Sept 21. These sources collectively establish that on 2026-09-21 Google officially offered customers the ability to place pre-orders for devices identified as “Googlebook.”
Source: blog.googleSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
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