🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Sep 23 · Results Sep 27
Will weekly Codex usage limits for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscribers be reset?
75%
-1% last 24h
100 bets · 2.4K credits2
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TechOpened Sep 18 · Results Sep 21
Will Google's market share be above 19.1%?
51%
Stable · last 24h
📊 170 bettors💎 5.1K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Sep 21🤖 Context
The market required Kalshi to finalize contract KXGOOGSHARE-26SEP21-19.1 as yes, with settlement tied to OpenRouter’s 'text market share by model author' ranking for the week of September 14, 2026. Kalshi did finalize that contract and published an official settlement result of no. Because the rule needed a yes but Kalshi’s finalized result was no, the market resolves no.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No51%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 51% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: The contract KXGOOGSHARE-26SEP21-19.1 must be 'finalized' on Kalshi with an official settlement result of YES to resolve YES. The settlement is based on OpenRouter's 'text market share by model author' ranking for the week of Sep 14, 2026 (Monday 10:00 AM ET update). Observed value(s): Kalshi official status = 'finalized' and Official finalized result = 'NO' (from the supplied Kalshi data). Comparison: required final result = YES, observed final result = NO. Therefore, per the contract's authority to follow Kalshi's finalized result, the market resolves NO.
Source: kalshi.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 51%
- Predictions made
- 170
- Credits staked
- 5,078
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Sep 18, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 21, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 21, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- kalshi.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 2 comments
- 🐼
Why not with digital searches, search navigations, or AI... we'll see
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 50 💎
Google's current share is trending lower than 19.1% with only days to go. Unless something surprising happens, I doubt they'll hit that mark by resolution.
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