📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 30 · Results Dec 1
Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?
14%
-1% last 24h
4844 bets · 107.5K credits172
Details →France
Live prediction markets about France. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
75%
crowd accuracy
293/393
right calls
49
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Bigflo & Oli’s €100,000 ZEvent donation be publicly listed as received?
NoThe crowd was 95% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 8
14%
Yes
Open questions49
⚽Sports·FootballCloses Nov 4 · Results Nov 5
Will Zinedine Zidane still be the head coach of France's senior men's national team on November 5?
99%
Stable · last 24h
4768 bets · 182.9K credits137
Details →⚽Sports·FootballCloses Nov 6
Nations League: Will Ousmane Dembélé be named in Zinedine Zidane's France squad on November 6?
28%
+1% last 24h
3043 bets · 123.9K credits61
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🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will any city or department in metropolitan France be put under a legally binding curfew?
94%
Stable · last 24h
1314 bets · 47.6K credits21
Details →⚽Sports·FootballCloses Nov 6
Nations League: will Zinedine Zidane unveil France's next squad on November 6?
98%
Stable · last 24h
680 bets · 32.2K credits11
Details →- Will the maximum temperature in metropolitan France reach at least 23.0 °C on October 31?Closes Oct 30 · Results Nov 1531 predictions23%Yes
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann publicly withdraw his candidacy for France's 2027 presidential election?Closes Feb 28 · Results Mar 1506 predictions8%Yes
- Will an official national tribute ('hommage national') be held for the victims of the Trappes attack?Closes Nov 4 · Results Nov 5480 predictions83%Yes
- Will at least 70,000 police and gendarmerie personnel be deployed across France on October 31?Closes Oct 30 · Results Nov 1450 predictions94%Yes
- Will the Senate‑amended 'casseurs‑payeurs' bill be formally transmitted to the Conseil d'État?Closes Nov 4 · Results Nov 5402 predictions66%Yes
- Will a formal hearing be scheduled and publicly announced to examine RN and UDR's challenge to remove Richard Ferrand?Closes Nov 30 · Results Dec 1357 predictions27%Yes
- Will Jean‑Luc Mélenchon be formally investigated for complicity in the October 17, 2026 violence?Closes Jan 31 · Results Feb 1339 predictions14%Yes
How it turned out393
- Will Jean‑Luc Mélenchon's Saint‑Denis rally on June 7, 2026 draw over 10,000 attendees?Yes
The crowd was 58% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jun 8 - Will France register 10 or more heat-related deaths between May 30 and June 5, 2026?No
The crowd was 50% sure, and they nailed it.
Jun 8 - Will the mixed commission on end‑of‑life reform reach agreement by June 7, 2026?No
The crowd was 63% sure, and they nailed it.
Jun 8 - Will 'Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu' exceed 600,000 admissions in France by end of its opening week?No
The crowd was 56% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jun 7 - Will the French National Assembly vote the ‘state of national security alert’ provision into law by June 5, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 53% sure, and they nailed it.
Jun 7 - Will France’s composite PMI for June flash above 50 indicating expansion?No
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Jun 6 - Will The xx perform in France during We Love Green 2026 (June 5–7)?Yes
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Jun 6 - Will a French player reach the men’s singles quarterfinals at Roland‑Garros 2026?No
The crowd was 55% sure, and they nailed it.
Jun 4 - Will France record a temperature of at least 38 °C anywhere before June 1, 2026?No
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Jun 3 - Will any amateur running event in France scheduled for May 30–31 be officially canceled due to the heatwave?Yes
The crowd was 67% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jun 1