France
Live prediction markets about France. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
75%
crowd accuracy
293/393
right calls
49
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Bigflo & Oli’s €100,000 ZEvent donation be publicly listed as received?
NoThe crowd was 95% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 8
14%
Yes
Open questions49
- Will the Assemblée nationale's commission d'enquête hold its first public hearing?Closes Nov 15 · Results Nov 16187 predictions41%Yes
- Will France publish a national autism strategy?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 1164 predictions34%Yes
- Will Edouard Philippe meet Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau and François Bayrou together in one meeting?Closes Oct 31 · Results Dec 1151 predictions47%Yes
- Will 'Egalité et Réconciliation' be dissolved by decree?Closes Nov 30121 predictions37%Yes
- Will the PS–Place publique primary rules explicitly allow Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin to run?Closes Oct 31 · Results Dec 199 predictions22%Yes
- Will an official date be announced for new municipal elections in Noisy‑le‑Sec?Closes Nov 30 · Results Dec 186 predictions73%Yes
- Will deputy José Beaurain be placed 'mis en examen' (placed under formal judicial investigation) for alleged diversion of public funds?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 286 predictions37%Yes
- Will at least one of La France Insoumise's 12 niche proposals be debated in the National Assembly plenary on 29 October?Awaiting result447 predictions90%Yes
- Will France proceed with merging Paris and its Petite Couronne into a single Greater Paris metropolis by end of 2026?Results Dec 31326 predictions27%Yes
- Will 'Le casse du siècle' by Sarah Knafo be #1 on the Edistat best‑selling books in France ranking?Awaiting result274 predictions28%Yes
- Will a formal judicial investigation be opened that names Marine Le Pen over her 'enfiler son costard en kevlar' remark?Results Nov 14182 predictions8%Yes
- Will 'Chere debbie' by Freida McFadden and Laura Bourgeois be #1 on the Edistat best‑selling books in France on November 6?Results Nov 6142 predictions67%Yes
How it turned out393
- Will the Conseil constitutionnel uphold the 'ZAN' law by May 31, 2026?No
The crowd was 54% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jun 1 - Will France’s annual inflation rate exceed 2.5% in April 2026?No
The crowd was 57% sure, and they nailed it.
May 28 - Will Pope Leo XIV visit France before end of 2025?No
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
May 14