🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Sep 3
Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?
77%
+42% last 24h
1999 bets · 59.9K credits6
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ScienceResults Jul 1
Will ESA’s SMILE spacecraft capture its first X‑ray image of Earth’s magnetosphere by June 30, 2026?
65%
Stable · last 24h
📊 13 bettors💎 449 at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Jul 1🤖 Context
YES if the ESA‑CAS SMILE mission delivers at least one X‑ray image of Earth’s magnetosphere (via its X‑ray camera) that is publicly confirmed by ESA or CAS by June 30, 2026. NO if no such image is publicly confirmed by that date.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No65%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 65% sure, and they got it wrong.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 65%
- Predictions made
- 13
- Credits staked
- 449
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- May 31, 2026
- Closes
- Jun 30, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 2, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- esa.int
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
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