Will Russian forces carry out an air, missile, or drone strike that hits the SBU headquarters in Kyiv?

69%
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27%
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YES if the Comisión Nacional del Agua (Conagua) official daily report for the Sistema Cutzamala on September 30, 2026 shows a 'total almacenamiento' percentage strictly greater than 80.00%. NO if Conagua reports exactly 80.00% or less. If Conagua does not publish that day's figure but two or more independent national news outlets report a Conagua figure greater than 80.00% for that date, those reports suffice to resolve YES. If Conagua publishes multiple totals for the same date, use Conagua's own 'total almacenamiento' figure as published for September 30, 2026.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 30, 2026. The outcome will be settled against politica.expansion.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 27%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the current levels and recent trends, I doubt the Cutzamala system will exceed 80% by the end of the month. Water management has been tight lately.

69%
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67%
Stable · last 24h

74%
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61%
Stable · last 24h

27%
Stable · last 24h

33%
Stable · last 24h
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