Will Russian forces carry out an air, missile, or drone strike that hits the SBU headquarters in Kyiv?

69%
-9% last 24h

75%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the Office of the President of Ukraine issues an official statement, or if two or more independent authoritative news outlets credibly report that Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met in person with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Kyiv no later than September 10, 2026 (Kyiv local time). Virtual/video/telephone meetings, meetings held outside Kyiv, or meetings that did not include Zelenskyy do not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 75%, based on 30 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith only a few days left and no reports yet, it seems unlikely that Witkoff and Kushner will meet Zelenskyy in person. The clock is ticking, and credible coverage isn't emerging.

69%
-9% last 24h

75%
Stable · last 24h

66%
Stable · last 24h

30%
Stable · last 24h

32%
Stable · last 24h

60%
Stable · last 24h
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