🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?
32%
Stable · last 24h
967 bets · 33.8K credits12
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PoliticsOpened Sep 6 · Results Oct 1
Will a 3-month continuing resolution pass the U.S. Senate?
76%
Stable · last 24h
📊 415 bettors💎 7.8K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 1🤖 Context
YES if no later than September 30, 2026 the U.S. Senate records a roll-call vote passing a continuing resolution that funds the government for approximately three months and two or more independent national news organizations report it as the same 3-month funding bill the House passed, or if the Senate passes the identical House text by roll-call vote by that deadline. Otherwise NO. The authoritative sources are the official Senate roll-call record and reporting by two or more independent national news organizations.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No76%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 76% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: NO: as of September 30, 2026, the U.S. Senate had not recorded a roll call vote adopting a continuing resolution for approximately three months corresponding to the House text. The last relevant vote, on August 5, concerned H.R. 6500 and provided funding until December 11. Therefore, the criterion requiring a Senate vote before September 30 is not met.
Source: senate.govKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 76%
- Predictions made
- 415
- Credits staked
- 7,796
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Sep 6, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 30, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 2, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- senate.gov
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 50 💎
With just 25 days left and Congress's track record, I doubt the Senate passes this without drama. Expect competing proposals that won't align with the House bill in the end.
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