Will Russian forces carry out an air, missile, or drone strike that hits the SBU headquarters in Kyiv?

69%
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61%
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YES if, on or before the market's resolution date, the U.S. Supreme Court issues a written order that by its terms permits Missouri election officials to use the Republican-backed congressional map in place of the older map for ballots cast in the November 2026 federal general election. The authoritative source is the U.S. Supreme Court orders/docket, or credible reporting of the Court's written order by two or more independent national news organizations. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 2, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 4, 2026. The outcome will be settled against san.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 61%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledThe Supreme Court’s stance will be crucial in the next weeks. If they authorize the Republican map, it's likely to happen given the tight timeline and ongoing legal maneuvers.

69%
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68%
Stable · last 24h

74%
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27%
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33%
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62%
Stable · last 24h
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