Will the People's Party (PP) lead Spain's national polls on Sep 7?

🤖 Context

YES if, in the topmost poll row of the 'Main voting-intention' table on the Wikipedia page 'Opinion polling for the next Spanish general election' as it appears at 00:00 CEST on 7 September 2026, the percentage shown for the People's Party (PP) is strictly greater than the percentage shown for the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE). Otherwise NO. If the two parties show exactly equal numeric percentages to the precision displayed, or if either party's percentage is missing or non‑numeric, the market resolves NO. The Wikipedia page is the primary source, with the named pollster's published results or major Spanish news outlets used to corroborate where possible.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against en.wikipedia.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 78%, based on 15 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

78%

Predictions made

15

Credits staked

532

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 23, 2026

Closes

Sep 6, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 6, 2026

Resolution source

en.wikipedia.org

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 78% and NO 22%, based on 15 predictions and 532 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against en.wikipedia.org once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the People's Party (PP) lead Spain's national polls on Sep 7?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the People's Party (PP) lead Spain's national polls on Sep 7?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.