Will Israel and Hamas publicly agree to a ceasefire with a stated start time?

9%
-1% last 24h

32%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than September 1, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM Pacific Time, two or more independent authoritative news outlets report that Median Strategies issued a public retraction or disavowal of that specific Los Angeles mayoral poll. A public retraction or disavowal means a firm press release, an official Median Strategies post quoted in reporting, or a spokesperson quoted as withdrawing the poll or saying the firm did not conduct or does not stand by it. Routine methodology clarifications or small corrections do not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 2, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against san.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 32%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNo comments yet. Start the conversation!

9%
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31%
Stable · last 24h

36%
Stable · last 24h

75%
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72%
+20% last 24h

59%
+1% last 24h
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