Will new targeted U.S. sanctions on Iran be announced?

🤖 Context

The rule required that, by September 4, 2026, the U.S. government (the White House, the U.S. Department of the Treasury/OFAC, or the State Department) publicly announce in an official press release or statement a new sanctions action targeting Iran or naming Iranian persons or entities, or that two or more major independent news organizations report such an announcement. On August 24, 2026 the U.S. Treasury’s OFAC announced 'Operation Economic Outcast' in an official release, expanding sectoral measures and designating nearly 60 entities, individuals and vessels linked to Iran, explicitly naming Iran-linked ministries and other Iranian persons and entities, and the State Department and outlets including Reuters and Al Jazeera corroborated the announcement. Because this was an official U.S. announcement of new targeted sanctions naming Iranian persons and entities before September 4, 2026, the market resolves to yes.

Key facts

Crowd probability

65%

Predictions made

590

Credits staked

18,200

Comments

5

Opened

Aug 21, 2026

Closes

Sep 5, 2026

Resolved

Sep 5, 2026

Outcome

Yes

Resolution source

home.treasury.gov, state.gov, reuters.com