Will Raphaël Glucksmann appear on the official candidate list for the PS / Place publique social‑democratic primary?

🤖 Context

YES if two or more independent national news outlets (for example AFP, Reuters, Le Monde, Franceinfo) or an official publication by the primary organisers (Parti socialiste and Place publique) report that Raphaël Glucksmann's name appears on the organisers' official published list of registered candidates for the PS / Place publique social‑democratic primary, no later than September 15, 2026. Otherwise NO. If the primary is cancelled or the organisers do not publish a candidate list by September 15, 2026, the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lcp.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 90%, based on 85 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

90%

Predictions made

85

Credits staked

2,706

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 6, 2026

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 16, 2026

Resolution source

lcp.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 90% and NO 10%, based on 85 predictions and 2.7K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against lcp.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Raphaël Glucksmann appear on the official candidate list for the PS / Place publique social‑democratic primary?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Raphaël Glucksmann appear on the official candidate list for the PS / Place publique social‑democratic primary?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.