Will Olivier Faure be declared the winner of the Socialist Party primary on October 6?

🤖 Context

YES if the Parti Socialiste or the primary organisers publicly declare Olivier Faure the primary's winner on October 6, 2026. If the primary is cancelled or postponed and no winner is declared on that date, or if the party announces a tie or orders a run-off instead of naming a winner that day, the market resolves NO. The party's or organisers' public announcement is preferred, but major national reporting is admissible as proof.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 18%, based on 49 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

18%

Predictions made

49

Credits staked

1,313

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 6, 2026

Closes

Oct 6, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 6, 2026

Resolution source

franceinfo.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 6, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 6, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 18% and NO 82%, based on 49 predictions and 1.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against franceinfo.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Olivier Faure be declared the winner of the Socialist Party primary on October 6?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Olivier Faure be declared the winner of the Socialist Party primary on October 6?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.