Will Falcon 9 booster B1082 touch down and be recovered at Landing Zone 4 on October 1?

🤖 Context

YES if the Falcon 9 first-stage booster B1082 touches down on Landing Zone 4 and is reported recovered there following the Transporter-18 launch from SLC‑4E (Vandenberg) on October 1, 2026. Otherwise NO. • A touchdown on a droneship or any off-pad impact, crash, or explosion does not count. • Source: SpaceX or U.S. Space Force range announcements, or multiple independent mainstream reports.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against spaceflightnow.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 82%, based on 112 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

82%

Predictions made

112

Credits staked

4,035

Comments

2

Opened

Sep 29, 2026

Closes

Oct 1, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 1, 2026

Resolution source

spaceflightnow.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 1, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 82% and NO 18%, based on 112 predictions and 4K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against spaceflightnow.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Falcon 9 booster B1082 touch down and be recovered at Landing Zone 4 on October 1?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Falcon 9 booster B1082 touch down and be recovered at Landing Zone 4 on October 1?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.