Will the Falcon Heavy for NROL-97 lift off from Launch Complex 39A?

🤖 Context

YES if the Falcon Heavy for NROL-97 lifted off (engines ignited and the vehicle cleared the pad) from Launch Complex 39A during the scheduled attempt at 23:53 EDT on October 1, 2026 (03:53 UTC on October 2, 2026), otherwise NO. • Engines must ignite and the vehicle must clear the pad during that scheduled attempt. If engines fire but the vehicle does not clear the pad (pad abort), the answer is NO. If liftoff occurs only on a later rescheduled attempt, the answer is NO. • Source: SpaceX, U.S. Space Force Eastern Range, or independent outlets such as Spaceflight Now, Reuters or AP.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 2, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against spaceflightnow.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 91%, based on 361 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

91%

Predictions made

361

Credits staked

14,060

Comments

4

Opened

Sep 28, 2026

Closes

Oct 2, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 2, 2026

Resolution source

spaceflightnow.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 2, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 2, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 91% and NO 9%, based on 361 predictions and 14.1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against spaceflightnow.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Falcon Heavy for NROL-97 lift off from Launch Complex 39A?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Falcon Heavy for NROL-97 lift off from Launch Complex 39A?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.