Will tropical cyclone Polo make landfall anywhere in Mexico?

🤖 Context

YES if the center of the tropical cyclone publicly identified as "Polo" is reported to have crossed the coastline of Mexico at any time between 04:30 UTC on September 26, 2026 and 04:30 UTC on October 3, 2026, inclusive, otherwise NO. • Only authoritative reports that the cyclone's center crossed the coastline count. Reports of onshore impacts without a center crossing do not count. • Any part of Mexico counts, including Baja California and Mexican islands. • Source: U.S. National Hurricane Center, Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, official government or civil-protection statements, or two or more major news organisations (e.g., AP, Reuters, CBC, The Weather Network).

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 3, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 3, 2026. The outcome will be settled against theweathernetwork.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 88%, based on 246 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

88%

Predictions made

246

Credits staked

7,591

Comments

4

Opened

Sep 26, 2026

Closes

Oct 3, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 3, 2026

Resolution source

theweathernetwork.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 3, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 3, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 88% and NO 12%, based on 246 predictions and 7.6K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against theweathernetwork.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will tropical cyclone Polo make landfall anywhere in Mexico?” real-money betting?

No. “Will tropical cyclone Polo make landfall anywhere in Mexico?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.