Will the U.S. and Iran publicly say they've concluded a bilateral agreement on managing the Strait of Hormuz?

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43%
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YES if no later than August 31, 2026 Profeco (Procuraduría Federal del Consumidor) and/or the federal government issues and publishes an official communication that a new or renewed voluntary agreement with gasoline station owners has been signed or publicly documented and that the agreement explicitly commits to keep the retail price of regular gasoline at or below MXN 24.00 per liter. Official communications include a signed press release, a written agreement published on Profeco's site, or an official statement at the Presidency's "Conferencia Matutina". If only non-binding language saying authorities will "seek" or "try" to keep prices under 24 pesos appears without a signed or published agreement referencing the 24-peso threshold, count that as NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 27, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against eluniversal.com.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 43%, based on 3 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith just over a week until the deadline, it's highly unlikely that a formal agreement will be published. Expect prices to exceed 24 pesos soon after.

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40%
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13%
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