Will the U.S. and Iran publicly say they've concluded a bilateral agreement on managing the Strait of Hormuz?

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73%
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YES if, no later than September 1, 2026, two or more independent reputable news outlets report that Lindell filed a legally cognizable election contest, complaint, or lawsuit in any Minnesota state or federal court, or filed a formal administrative challenge with the Minnesota Secretary of State or a Minnesota county election office seeking to alter or overturn the primary result for the office he ran for. Announcements of intent, threats, or social-media-only statements without a filed court or agency record and without reporting by two outlets do not count. Sealed filings count as YES only if two independent outlets report their existence.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 3, 2026. The outcome will be settled against san.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 73%, based on 5 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith just three days left, Lindell hasn’t shown any signs of filing a challenge. Unless something changes quickly, it’s unlikely he’ll meet the deadline.

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50%
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59%
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67%
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66%
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