🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 30 · Results Oct 31
Will a public protest or march take place in Paris on October 31?
95%
Stable · last 24h
908 bets · 34.6K credits16
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PoliticsOpened Aug 6 · Results Aug 21
Will the U.S. and Iran publicly say they've concluded a bilateral agreement on managing the Strait of Hormuz?
13%
Stable · last 24h
📊 3817 bettors💎 90.3K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Aug 21🤖 Context
YES if, no later than August 20, 2026, official statements or a signed agreement show the U.S. government and the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran have concluded a bilateral agreement that specifically covers management, navigation, security arrangements, or similar binding measures for the Strait of Hormuz. The outcome must be reported by the U.S. Department of State and Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs or corroborated by independent news coverage. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No13%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 87% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 13%
- Predictions made
- 3,817
- Credits staked
- 90,274
- Comments
- 12
- Opened
- Aug 6, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 21, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 25, 2026
- Outcome
- No
💬 12 comments
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