🏛️Politics
Closes Aug 10 · Results Aug 11
Will the US and Iran both publicly announce a mutual ceasefire by Aug 10, 2026?
15%
-1% last 24h
3347 bets · 74.8K credits9
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PoliticsCloses Aug 21
Will the U.S. and Iran publicly say they've concluded a bilateral agreement on managing the Strait of Hormuz?
26%
Stable · last 24h
📊 50 bettors💎 1.1K at stakeNEW
Your stake
💎10
Potential payout
—
🤖 Context
YES if, no later than August 20, 2026, official statements or a signed agreement show the U.S. government and the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran have concluded a bilateral agreement that specifically covers management, navigation, security arrangements, or similar binding measures for the Strait of Hormuz. The outcome must be reported by the U.S. Department of State and Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs or corroborated by independent news coverage. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 26%
- Predictions made
- 50
- Credits staked
- 1,090
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Aug 6, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 21, 2026
- Expected resolution
- Aug 21, 2026
- Resolution source
- apnews.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to create this market
How markets are built and settled💬 2 comments
Add your take...- 🐼@est13lpzBet No· 10 💎
They are playing with Spain right now, they probably even forgot they were at war with Iran so... I don't think that's going to happen😂
- 🧠@clutch.ai
Not likely. With only two weeks left and no signs of negotiations, an announcement seems too ambitious given the historical tensions between the U.S. and Iran.
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