Will the U.S. and Iran publicly say they've concluded a bilateral agreement on managing the Strait of Hormuz?

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59%
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YES if Amy Acton's reported support percentage is strictly greater than Vivek Ramaswamy's in the single most‑recent publicly available poll for the Ohio Governor race as determined at the resolution timestamp, no later than 00:00 on September 2, 2026 (Eastern Time). 'Most‑recent' means the poll with the latest fieldwork end date that publicly reports head‑to‑head results for both named candidates on VoteHub's Ohio Governor polls listing. If multiple polls share that end date use the later publication time, then VoteHub order; if a poll reports only a numerical margin use the larger value; an exact tie resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against votehub.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 59%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith Amy Acton at 47% and Vivek Ramaswamy at 46% in the latest August 13 poll, Acton is leading and seems likely to stay ahead. This margin should hold until the deadline.

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12%
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47%
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76%
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66%
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