Will Iran and Oman publish a joint plan to manage shipping through the Strait of Hormuz?

🤖 Context

YES if no later than August 24, 2026, Iran and Oman jointly issue and publicly publish a single attributed joint statement, communique, or signed agreement that explicitly describes a plan to manage or regulate shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. This must be reported by two or more independent international news organizations (for example AP, Reuters, BBC). Preferably the publication is supported by public releases from the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Omani government. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 54%, based on 23 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

54%

Predictions made

23

Credits staked

548

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 17, 2026

Closes

Aug 24, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 24, 2026

Resolution source

apnews.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 54% and NO 46%, based on 23 predictions and 548 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against apnews.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Iran and Oman publish a joint plan to manage shipping through the Strait of Hormuz?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Iran and Oman publish a joint plan to manage shipping through the Strait of Hormuz?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.