United States
Live prediction markets about United States. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
65%
crowd accuracy
107/164
right calls
21
open questions
Biggest miss
The crowd was 84% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 17
85%
Yes
Open questions21
- Will the US ease import tariffs on machinery from Canada on October 30?Closes Oct 30 · Results Oct 31304 predictions79%Yes
- Will the US, Russia and Ukraine hold expert-level trilateral talks?Closes Oct 31 · Results Nov 1287 predictions15%Yes
- Will the EU or any EU government announce and implement retaliatory measures over US sanctions on the ICC?Closes Oct 31 · Results Nov 1183 predictions17%Yes
- Will anyone be arrested or charged in connection with the suspicious letters sent to congressional and state election offices?Closes Nov 436 predictions71%Yes
- Will any tariff on Canadian products be lifted or removed?Closes Nov 421 predictions67%Yes
- Will Tropical Storm Vance make landfall in any U.S. state or territory?Closes Oct 30 · Results Nov 27 predictions43%Yes
- Will gas cost at least $4.25 per gallon in the US on November 2?Closes Nov 2 · Results Nov 33 predictions50%Yes
- Will Democrats win control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections?Results Dec 102024 predictions51%Yes
- Will Circular's Ring 3 series be available to buy or open pre-order in the US?Results Nov 1407 predictions48%Yes
How it turned out164
- Will the USA 🇺🇸 beat Zimbabwe 🇿🇼 by more than 10 points on July 11, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 13 - Will the United States 🇺🇸 reach the quarter‑finals?No
The crowd was 66% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 11 - Will the United States 🇺🇸 reach the quarter‑finals?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 8 - Will the U.S. national average gasoline price reach $4.00 per gallon by July 7, 2026?No
The crowd was 62% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 7 - Will the United States 🇺🇸 beat Belgium 🇧🇪 in their match on July 6, 2026?No
The crowd was 59% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 7 - Will Malik Tillman 🇺🇸 score the first goal of the United States 🇺🇸’s match against Belgium 🇧🇪 on 2026‑07‑06?No
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 7 - Will Christian Pulisic 🇺🇸 score the first goal of the United States 🇺🇸’s match against Belgium 🇧🇪 on 2026‑07‑06?No
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 7 - Will Malik Tillman 🇺🇸 score at any time in the United States 🇺🇸’s match against Belgium 🇧🇪 on 2026‑07‑06?Yes
The crowd was 76% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 7 - Will Folarin Balogun 🇺🇸 score in the United States 🇺🇸’s match against Belgium 🇧🇪 on 2026‑07‑06?No
The crowd was 57% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 7 - Will the U.S. experience its hottest July 4th on record in 2026?No
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 6