United Kingdom
Live prediction markets about United Kingdom. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
68%
crowd accuracy
13/19
right calls
37
open questions
Biggest miss
Will the House of Lords vote to approve an amendment requiring political parties to return donations from British expats?
NoThe crowd was 74% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will Andy Burnham publicly call a UK general election?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 29
39%
Yes
Open questions37
How it turned out19
- Will Zack Polanski call for a three-year cap on private rent rises?Yes
The crowd was 75% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 7 - Will a formal pay deal be announced that stops Glasgow City Council's paused plan to fire-and-rehire 23,000 staff?No
The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 4 - Will the government table in the House of Lords an Elections Bill amendment that applies the overseas-donor cap to donations accepted on or after 1 March and makes Reform UK's £72m unlawful or repayable?No
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 1 - Will the House of Lords vote to approve an amendment requiring political parties to return donations from British expats?No
The crowd was 74% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 25 - Will the UK formally summon the US ambassador to complain about Donald Trump calling a united Ireland 'fantastic'?No
The crowd was 58% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 23 - Will the United States explicitly reaffirm it would provide military support to the UK if Argentina uses force over the Falkland Islands?No
The crowd was 53% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 11 - Will Prince Harry and Meghan be in the UK with Archie and Lilibet on August 31?Yes
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 1 - Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election on August 13, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 14 - Will Andy Burnham become the next UK Prime Minister by mid-July 2026?No
The crowd was 73% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 16