United Kingdom
Live prediction markets about United Kingdom. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
68%
crowd accuracy
13/19
right calls
37
open questions
Biggest miss
The crowd was 74% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 29
39%
Yes
Open questions37
How it turned out19
- Will Storm Boelo produce a wind gust of at least 80 mph in the UK?Yes
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 27 - Will UK MPs hold a formal evidence session or committee hearing to examine the BBC's selection process for the UK's Eurovision 2026 entry?No
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 17 - Will Summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?No
The crowd was 65% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 15 - Will UK forces publicly say they carried out satellite jamming to defend against hostile threats?No
The crowd was 72% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 15 - Will summer 2026 be the warmest summer on record in the UK?No
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 15 - Will the UK publicly expel Iranian diplomats or announce sanctions over the Fairford air base incident?No
The crowd was 61% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 14 - Will any union negotiating with Glasgow City Council announce a formal strike ballot or confirm a strike date?No
The crowd was 56% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 12 - Will the winner of the Holborn and St Pancras by-election on 8 October get more than 50% of the valid votes?No
The crowd was 51% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 9 - Will the UK refuel Saudi combat or patrol aircraft in flight to support operations against Houthi attacks?No
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 9 - Will any weather system affecting the UK, Ireland, or the Netherlands get an official storm name?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 7