📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will the proposed Thames Water rescue deal be officially rejected?
44%
Stable · last 24h
496 bets · 14.7K credits2
Details →UK Government
Live prediction markets about UK Government. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
50%
crowd accuracy
2/4
right calls
28
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Kemi Badenoch sue the UK government over Wandsworth Council's council tax increase?
NoThe crowd was 60% sure, and they got it wrong.
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Will the proposed Thames Water rescue deal be officially rejected?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 20
44%
Yes
Open questions28
📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 28 · Results Nov 16
Will the main rate of fuel duty on petrol be cut by at least 10p per litre?
43%
Stable · last 24h
483 bets · 13.5K credits2
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will phone makers or UK mobile networks be required to use technical anti-theft protections that stop reported‑stolen handsets from working on UK networks?
69%
Stable · last 24h
405 bets · 6.8K credits2
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📍Politics·NationalCloses Dec 31 · Results Jan 2
Will the UK government publish an official White Paper or equivalent with detailed social care reform proposals for England?
70%
Stable · last 24h
403 bets · 7.5K credits1
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will the UK Youth Parliament lose central government funding?
53%
Stable · last 24h
402 bets · 7K credits1
Details →- Will a formal court claim be lodged in the UK to challenge the government's local council reorganisation plans?Closes Nov 15 · Results Nov 16402 predictions61%Yes
- Will the UK government publish a White Paper or open an official public consultation on the 'Great British Grid' plan?Closes Nov 30 · Results Dec 1402 predictions48%Yes
- Will the 'right to remain' proposal be formally amended or withdrawn?Closes Nov 30 · Results Dec 1402 predictions48%Yes
- Will the UK government create new statutory protections for residential leaseholders?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 2402 predictions78%Yes
- Will new residency-based rules limit who can donate to UK political parties or campaigners?Closes Oct 31 · Results Nov 1401 predictions55%Yes
- Will any English directly‑elected mayor or combined authority have the legal power to impose a tourist tax on overnight stays?Closes Nov 29 · Results Dec 1401 predictions70%Yes
- Will the seven Gloucestershire councils merge into a single council?Closes Nov 30401 predictions50%Yes
How it turned out4
- Will Kemi Badenoch sue the UK government over Wandsworth Council's council tax increase?No
The crowd was 60% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 12 - Will the seven Gloucestershire councils merge into a single 'super council'?No
The crowd was 51% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 10 - Will the Commons or Lords record a ministerial statement or urgent question on Israel closing the British consulate in East Jerusalem?No
The crowd was 53% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 9 - Will the UK Youth Parliament be axed?No
The crowd was 62% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 8