🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 9 · Results Oct 10
Will Iran publicly accept the U.S. response to its latest offer to end the war?
12%
Stable · last 24h
501 bets · 18K credits7
Details →
PoliticsOpened Sep 14 · Results Sep 22
Will the House of Lords vote to approve an amendment requiring political parties to return donations from British expats?
74%
Stable · last 24h
📊 402 bettors💎 6.9K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Sep 22🤖 Context
YES if, no later than September 21, 2026, the House of Lords records a formal division in which Lords approve one or more amendments or motions to UK legislation whose text explicitly requires political parties to return donations received from British expatriates, or explicitly declares such donations invalid and requires repayment. Preferred sources are UK Parliament records (Hansard, Lords votes and amendments). Reporting by two or more independent national news outlets (for example BBC News, The Guardian, Reuters, Financial Times) is also sufficient to resolve YES. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No74%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 74% sure, and they got it wrong.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 74%
- Predictions made
- 402
- Credits staked
- 6,941
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Sep 14, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 21, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 25, 2026
- Outcome
- No
💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 50 💎
Given the timing and the current political landscape, I doubt the House of Lords will pass this amendment in the next week. It's a tight turnaround that likely won't yield a formal vote.
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