Will the Falcon 9 first stage on Starlink 15-16 land successfully on the droneship 'Of Course I Still Love You'?

91%
Stable · last 24h

26%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Oct 19YES if an official decision is published to suspend in-person classes at a named public school, or to suspend classes for all schools in a named municipality or school district, for at least one full school day on 17 or 18 October 2026 and the decision explicitly attributes the suspension to the DANA or to adverse weather, heavy rain, or flooding linked to it. Otherwise NO. • The decision must be published by the municipal government, regional education authority, or the public school's official management and must name the affected school(s) or municipality/district. • Acceptable evidence is the issuing authority's official statement or press release on its official website, or reporting by two or more independent Spanish news organizations quoting the named authority. • Partial-day early dismissals, cancellations of extracurricular activities without a school suspension, and unverified social-media posts do not count. • Source: official statement by the named authority or two or more independent Spanish news organizations.
How markets are built and settled26%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 74% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The decisive point is the exact period anticipated by the market: the suspension must cover an entire day of classes on October 17 or 18, 2026. However, the official announcements I found mainly concern Monday, October 19, 2026, which does not meet this criterion, even though the closures are indeed related to the DANA Adam.
Source: caib.esSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
91%
Stable · last 24h

77%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

42%
+2% last 24h

80%
Stable · last 24h

39%
-4% last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy