🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 27
Will a state commission be established to investigate Israel's Oct. 7, 2023 intelligence and security failures?
41%
-6% last 24h
360 bets · 13.7K credits4
Details →Israel
Live prediction markets about Israel. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
88%
crowd accuracy
15/17
right calls
4
open questions
Biggest miss
Will a U.S. arms sale to Israel explicitly include 2,000‑lb bombs and be notified to Congress as a roughly $2.8B deal?
YesThe crowd was 71% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will a state commission be established to investigate Israel's Oct. 7, 2023 intelligence and security failures?
The crowd's YES odds since Oct 11
41%
Yes
Open questions4
🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 1 · Results Nov 2
Will any EU country recall or temporarily withdraw its ambassador to Israel, or formally suspend diplomatic relations with Israel?
29%
+1% last 24h
236 bets · 7.6K credits3
Details →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 3 · Results Nov 4
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be publicly designated to try to form the next government or be sworn in as prime minister?
62%
-10% last 24h
181 bets · 5.7K credits2
Details →Get the app
The full experience is on mobile
+100💎
Install and create your account to win
Get more credits and unlock everything.
Install the app
🌍Politics·GeopoliticsResults Oct 27
Will all official West Bank–Israel crossings be closed to Palestinian workers and to pedestrian and vehicle traffic for the entire election day?
91%
+3% last 24h
492 bets · 20.5K credits10
Details →How it turned out17
- Will Israel publicly accept the U.S. ceasefire proposal for Gaza?No
The crowd was 88% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 3 - Will Israel and Hamas publicly agree to a ceasefire with a stated start time?No
The crowd was 90% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 25 - Did Jared Kushner visit both Israel and Egypt on the trip?Yes
The crowd was 64% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 24 - Will Israel and Hamas announce a deal where Hamas disarms and Israel stops strikes and withdraws forces?No
The crowd was 93% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 21 - Will Israeli forces fully withdraw from Gaza and stop offensive operations no later than August 14, 2026?No
The crowd was 93% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 14 - Will Israel publicly say it has completely withdrawn all military forces from Gaza by 2:00 AM on August 8, 2026?No
The crowd was 94% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 7 - Will the Israel-Lebanon peace talks in Rome on July 15–16, 2026, result in a lasting ceasefire?No
The crowd was 81% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 17