🏛️Politics
Closes Aug 24 · Results Aug 25
Will Israel and Hamas publicly agree to a ceasefire with a stated start time?
9%
Stable · last 24h
1660 bets · 42.9K credits2
Details →
PoliticsResults Jul 16
Will the Israel-Lebanon peace talks in Rome on July 15–16, 2026, result in a lasting ceasefire?
19%
Stable · last 24h
📊 288 bettors💎 5.7K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Jul 16🤖 Context
This market will resolve to 'YES' if an official announcement confirms that Israel and Lebanon have agreed to a lasting ceasefire following the peace talks in Rome on July 15–16, 2026. It will resolve to 'NO' if no such agreement is reached by the end of the scheduled talks.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No19%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 81% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 19%
- Predictions made
- 288
- Credits staked
- 5,657
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- Jul 10, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 15, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 17, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- china.org.cn, israelhayom.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 0 comments
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