📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 30 · Results Dec 1
Will the next Berlin state government include the AfD as a formal coalition partner and have AfD members in the Senat?
55%
Stable · last 24h
447 bets · 10.4K credits2
Details →Berlin
Live prediction markets about Berlin. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
59%
crowd accuracy
13/22
right calls
15
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Berlin's daily high reach at least 23 °C on September 29?
YesThe crowd was 69% sure, and they got it wrong.
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Will the next Berlin state government include the AfD as a formal coalition partner and have AfD members in the Senat?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 22
55%
Yes
Open questions15
📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will Elif Eralp be formally nominated by Die Linke Berlin as its candidate for Governing Mayor?
68%
Stable · last 24h
401 bets · 7K credits1
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will Hendrikje Klein be elected President of the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin?
63%
Stable · last 24h
239 bets · 6.9K credits1
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🏛️Politics·ParliamentCloses Oct 28 · Results Oct 29
Will Berlin CDU leader Stefan Evers meet with the SPD and Greens' state leaderships on October 29?
23%
-5% last 24h
47 bets · 3.5K credits1
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 30 · Results Oct 31
Will Die Linke at its party congress on 31 October 2026 vote to start formal coalition talks with the SPD and the Greens in Berlin?
68%
Stable · last 24h
1 bet · 25 credits1
Details →- Will the Berlin SPD announce the start of formal coalition talks with both Die Linke and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen?Closes Oct 31 · Results Nov 10 predictions79%Yes
- Will Die Linke in Berlin publicly vote to begin formal coalition talks with the SPD and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen?Closes Nov 6 · Results Nov 80 predictions67%Yes
- Will Die Linke Berlin publicly announce it will enter formal coalition negotiations with SPD Berlin and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen Berlin?Closes Nov 15 · Results Nov 160 predictions39%Yes
- Will a binding citywide referendum to expropriate ('vergesellschaften') apartments from large housing corporations be placed on a Berlin ballot?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 10 predictions33%Yes
- Will Elif Eralp be sworn in and take office as Governing Mayor of Berlin?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 10 predictions67%Yes
- Will the SPD, the Greens and The Left sign a written coalition agreement for Berlin and present it to the Abgeordnetenhaus?Closes Jan 31 · Results Feb 10 predictions42%Yes
- Will rapidly deployable anti‑drone units be set up to protect airspace over at least three of these cities: Frankfurt am Main, Munich, Hamburg, Berlin, Stuttgart, Düsseldorf, Leipzig, Hannover, Cologne?Results Jan 3560 predictions68%Yes
How it turned out23
- Will the maximum temperature recorded in Berlin be at least 17 °C on 27 October?No
The crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 28 - Will Elif Eralp (Die Linke) be elected Governing Mayor of Berlin?No
The crowd was 62% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 16 - Will the SPD or Berlin Greens publicly say they will not enter a governing coalition with Die Linke in Berlin?No
The crowd was 51% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 16 - Will Berlin reach at least 13 °C on October 11?No
The crowd was 68% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 12 - Will the person elected and sworn in as Governing Mayor of Berlin be a member of Die Linke?No
The crowd was 62% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 11 - Will Die Linke, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and the SPD in Berlin publicly announce they have begun formal coalition talks?Yes
The crowd was 73% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 11 - Will Die Linke, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and the SPD in Berlin hold a joint three‑party exploratory meeting?No
The crowd was 50% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 7 - Will Berlin U-Bahn line U1 run its full route on October 5?Yes
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 5 - Will Berlin reach at least 21 °C on October 2?No
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 3 - Will Die Linke hold initial exploratory talks with both the SPD and the Greens in Berlin?No
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 3