🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 11
Will the US carry out additional military strikes in or directly over the Strait of Hormuz?
53%
-1% last 24h
1600 bets · 48.1K credits20
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PoliticsOpened Sep 23 · Results Oct 15
Will Elif Eralp (Die Linke) be elected Governing Mayor of Berlin?
62%
Stable · last 24h
📊 402 bettors💎 7.3K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 15🤖 Context
YES if, no later than 12:00 on October 15, 2026, the Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus has formally elected Elif Eralp as Regierende Bürgermeisterin in an official plenary vote that shows she received the required majority. This must be reported by at least two independent major news outlets, preferably citing the Abgeordnetenhaus plenary minutes or an Abgeordnetenhaus press release. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No62%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 62% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Elif Eralp was not elected as the Governing Mayor of Berlin on the indicated date, negotiations are still ongoing.
Source: zonebourse.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 62%
- Predictions made
- 402
- Credits staked
- 7,332
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Sep 23, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 14, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 16, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- zonebourse.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 50 💎
With only about three weeks left, Elif Eralp's path to becoming mayor seems uncertain. The need for a formal majority and clear media backing makes this a tough climb.
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