Will Elif Eralp (Die Linke) be elected Governing Mayor of Berlin?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than 12:00 on October 15, 2026, the Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus has formally elected Elif Eralp as Regierende Bürgermeisterin in an official plenary vote that shows she received the required majority. This must be reported by at least two independent major news outlets, preferably citing the Abgeordnetenhaus plenary minutes or an Abgeordnetenhaus press release. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 15, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tagesschau.de. For now, the crowd puts YES at 62%, based on 0 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

62%

Predictions made

0

Credits staked

0

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 23, 2026

Closes

Oct 14, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 15, 2026

Resolution source

tagesschau.de

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 14, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 15, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 62% and NO 38%, based on 0 predictions and 0 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tagesschau.de once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Elif Eralp (Die Linke) be elected Governing Mayor of Berlin?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Elif Eralp (Die Linke) be elected Governing Mayor of Berlin?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.