📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 30 · Results Dec 1
Will the next Berlin state government include the AfD as a formal coalition partner and have AfD members in the Senat?
55%
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447 bets · 10.4K credits2
Details →Berlin
Live prediction markets about Berlin. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
59%
crowd accuracy
13/22
right calls
15
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Berlin's daily high reach at least 23 °C on September 29?
YesThe crowd was 69% sure, and they got it wrong.
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Will the next Berlin state government include the AfD as a formal coalition partner and have AfD members in the Senat?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 22
55%
Yes
Open questions15
📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will Elif Eralp be formally nominated by Die Linke Berlin as its candidate for Governing Mayor?
68%
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Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will Hendrikje Klein be elected President of the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin?
63%
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239 bets · 6.9K credits1
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🏛️Politics·ParliamentCloses Oct 28 · Results Oct 29
Will Berlin CDU leader Stefan Evers meet with the SPD and Greens' state leaderships on October 29?
23%
-5% last 24h
47 bets · 3.5K credits1
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 30 · Results Oct 31
Will Die Linke at its party congress on 31 October 2026 vote to start formal coalition talks with the SPD and the Greens in Berlin?
68%
Stable · last 24h
1 bet · 25 credits1
Details →- Will the Berlin SPD announce the start of formal coalition talks with both Die Linke and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen?Closes Oct 31 · Results Nov 10 predictions79%Yes
- Will Die Linke in Berlin publicly vote to begin formal coalition talks with the SPD and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen?Closes Nov 6 · Results Nov 80 predictions67%Yes
- Will Die Linke Berlin publicly announce it will enter formal coalition negotiations with SPD Berlin and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen Berlin?Closes Nov 15 · Results Nov 160 predictions39%Yes
- Will a binding citywide referendum to expropriate ('vergesellschaften') apartments from large housing corporations be placed on a Berlin ballot?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 10 predictions33%Yes
- Will Elif Eralp be sworn in and take office as Governing Mayor of Berlin?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 10 predictions67%Yes
- Will the SPD, the Greens and The Left sign a written coalition agreement for Berlin and present it to the Abgeordnetenhaus?Closes Jan 31 · Results Feb 10 predictions42%Yes
- Will rapidly deployable anti‑drone units be set up to protect airspace over at least three of these cities: Frankfurt am Main, Munich, Hamburg, Berlin, Stuttgart, Düsseldorf, Leipzig, Hannover, Cologne?Results Jan 3560 predictions68%Yes
How it turned out23
- Will Berlin's daily high reach at least 23 °C on September 29?Yes
The crowd was 69% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 30 - Will Berlin reach at least 24 °C on September 28?Yes
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 29 - Will Berlin's daily high reach at least 22 °C on September 27?Yes
The crowd was 59% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 28 - Will Berlin's daily high be at least 16 °C on September 24?No
The crowd was 75% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 25 - Will Die Linke get more seats than the CDU in the Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election?Yes
The crowd was 82% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 22 - Will the SPD be the single largest party in the Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election on Sep 20?No
The crowd was 75% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 21 - Will the AfD get at least 5.00% of valid party‑list (Zweitstimmen) votes in the Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election on September 20?Yes
The crowd was 82% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 21 - Will the Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) get at least 5.0% of party‑list (Zweitstimmen) votes in the Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election on September 20?No
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 21 - Will Die Linke get the largest share of the party vote in the Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election on September 20?Yes
The crowd was 81% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 21 - Will the CDU be the single largest party by seats in the Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election on September 20?No
The crowd was 53% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 21