Will Die Linke, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and the SPD in Berlin publicly announce they have begun formal coalition talks?

🤖 Context

YES if the leaderships of the Berlin branches of Die Linke, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, and the SPD publicly announce on the record that they have begun formal "Sondierungsgespräche" or "Koalitionsverhandlungen" to form a Berlin state government no later than October 10, 2026, otherwise NO. • A public, on-the-record statement by the Berlin party leaders using explicit wording that formal "Sondierungsgespräche" or "Koalitionsverhandlungen" have begun counts. Informal descriptions such as "Vorgespräche", "Austausch" or "informal talks" do not count. • Source: On-the-record statements by the Berlin party leaders or contemporaneous reporting by two or more independent reputable outlets (for example Tagesschau, rbb, Der Tagesspiegel, dpa).

Key facts

Crowd probability

73%

Predictions made

413

Credits staked

8,644

Comments

1

Opened

Oct 3, 2026

Closes

Oct 10, 2026

Resolved

Oct 11, 2026

Outcome

Yes

Resolution source

tagesschau.de