2027 French presidential election
Who will win the 2027 French presidential election?
First round on April 18, 2027, runoff on May 2: the French government set the dates on July 1, 2026. To get on the ballot, a candidate needs 500 endorsements from elected officials across at least 30 départements or overseas territories. If nobody wins an absolute majority in the first round, the top two face off two weeks later. Got a read on who makes the runoff and who ends up in the Élysée? On Clutch you predict YES or NO for free and see what the crowd thinks, live.
70%
crowd accuracy
14/20
right calls
23
open questions
Biggest miss
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 8
37%
Yes
Open questions23
- Will Emmanuel Macron publicly declare he is a candidate for the 2027 French presidential election?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 1299 predictions10%Yes
- Will Bruno Le Maire publicly declare he's a candidate for the 2027 French presidential election?Closes Dec 31296 predictions28%Yes
- Will Édouard Philippe publicly commit to take part in a right/centre primary for France's 2027 presidential election?Closes Dec 31285 predictions44%Yes
- Will Bruno Retailleau publicly withdraw his 2027 presidential candidacy and endorse Édouard Philippe?Closes Dec 24 · Results Dec 26271 predictions26%Yes
- Will right‑and‑centre parties announce and set a joint primary date to pick one 2027 presidential candidate?Closes Dec 24 · Results Dec 26270 predictions14%Yes
- Poll: Will Raphaël Glucksmann poll higher than Bruno Retailleau?Closes Nov 8228 predictions85%Yes
- Will Jean‑Luc Mélenchon finish in the top two in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Results Apr 19351 predictions43%Yes
- Will Ségolène Royal publicly withdraw from the Socialist Party primary for the 2027 presidential election?Results Nov 1227 predictions27%Yes
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the Socialist Party primary for the 2027 presidential election?Results Nov 7175 predictions35%Yes
- Will Gabriel Attal qualify for the second round of the 2027 presidential election?Results May 1160 predictions40%Yes
- Will Sandrine Rousseau publicly endorse Raphaël Glucksmann as the left's candidate for president?Results Nov 1678 predictions18%Yes
How it turned out20
- Will Gabriel Attal beat Raphaël Glucksmann in the France poll on September 22?No
The crowd was 62% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 21 - Will Édouard Philippe be ahead of Mélenchon in the latest poll?No
The crowd was 61% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 15 - Will Mélenchon poll higher than Édouard Philippe?No
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 12 - Will Marine Le Pen lead Édouard Philippe in the national first-round poll on August 5, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 94% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 4 - Will Marine Le Pen's appeal to the Cour de Cassation suspend her electronic monitoring sentence before the 2027 presidential election?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 16 - Will Jordan Bardella be confirmed as Rassemblement National’s presidential candidate on July 7, 2026?No
The crowd was 50% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 10 - Will Marine Le Pen be allowed to run in the 2027 French presidential election?Yes
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 7 - Will Gabriel Attal finish in the top two in first‑round presidential polling in France by July 1, 2026?No
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 3 - Will Jordan Bardella be the most popular French presidential candidate in polls by June 30, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 63% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 1 - In first‑round 2027 French presidential polling, will Jordan Bardella lead Édouard Philippe?Yes
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Jun 20
Questions about 2027 French presidential election
When is the 2027 French presidential election?
The first round is on Sunday, April 18, 2027 and the second round on Sunday, May 2, 2027. The government announced these dates on July 1, 2026.
How does the French presidential election work?
The president is elected by direct universal suffrage for five years. A candidate who wins an absolute majority of votes cast in the first round is elected; otherwise the two leading candidates face off in a second round two weeks later. The Constitution limits a president to two consecutive terms.
How do you become a candidate for the French presidency?
You need at least 500 endorsements ("parrainages") from elected officials such as mayors, MPs, senators or MEPs. They must come from at least 30 départements or overseas territories, with no more than one tenth from the same one. The Constitutional Council checks them and publishes the official list of candidates.
Who can vote in the French presidential election?
French citizens aged 18 or over who hold their civil and political rights and are registered on an electoral list. French citizens living abroad can vote through a consular list. Other EU citizens living in France cannot vote in this election.