Will Mélenchon poll higher than Édouard Philippe?

🤖 Context

YES if Jean‑Luc Mélenchon has a strictly higher numeric voting‑intention percentage than Édouard Philippe in the single most recent poll row of the 'Main voting-intention table' on the Wikipedia page "Opinion polling for the 2027 French presidential election" as that page appears at 00:00 (CEST) on 10 September 2026. If both show the same numeric percentage, or if either candidate's cell in that poll row is missing, non‑numeric, or given only as a range/footnote, the market resolves NO. Preferred authoritative proof is the pollster's published figures for that poll as reproduced by major news wire agencies or by the same Wikipedia table.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against en.wikipedia.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 79%, based on 308 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

79%

Predictions made

308

Credits staked

8,513

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 26, 2026

Closes

Sep 9, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 9, 2026

Resolution source

en.wikipedia.org

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 79% and NO 21%, based on 308 predictions and 8.5K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against en.wikipedia.org once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Mélenchon poll higher than Édouard Philippe?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Mélenchon poll higher than Édouard Philippe?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.