Will Tropical Cyclone Polo make landfall in Mexico?

🤖 Context

YES if the centre of circulation of tropical cyclone Polo is reported to have crossed the coastline onto land that is part of Mexico in a public advisory from the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) or Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional / CONAGUA, or if multiple independent major news outlets report such a landfall, no later than 05:59 on October 4, 2026; otherwise NO. • Includes the Baja California peninsula and Mexican islands. • Reports that clearly refer to a different storm than "Polo" do not count. • Source: U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) or Servicio Meteorológico Nacional / CONAGUA. Multiple independent major news outlets also acceptable.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 27, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 4, 2026. The outcome will be settled against theweathernetwork.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 88%, based on 127 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

88%

Predictions made

127

Credits staked

4,967

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 27, 2026

Closes

Sep 27, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 4, 2026

Resolution source

theweathernetwork.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 27, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 4, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 88% and NO 12%, based on 127 predictions and 5K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against theweathernetwork.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Tropical Cyclone Polo make landfall in Mexico?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Tropical Cyclone Polo make landfall in Mexico?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.