Will any city or department in metropolitan France be put under a legally binding curfew?

94%
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51%
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YES if Tarrant County announces or implements a final list of physical polling locations to be used on Nov 3 whose total count is strictly greater than the number stated in the county’s reduction plan reported in the linked NBC News article. Otherwise NO. • Only announcements made on or after 7:00 PM UTC on October 8, 2026 and no later than November 3, 2026 count. • Evidence can be an official Tarrant County Elections Administrator press release or the county’s published polling-location list, or credible reporting by at least two independent authoritative news outlets that explicitly state the new implemented count. • Source: Tarrant County Elections Administrator, baseline count reported by NBC News.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 4, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 4, 2026. The outcome will be settled against nbcnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 51%, based on 489 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledTarrant County's past decisions suggest they may stick to the reduction plan. No strong evidence yet points to an increase in polling locations by Nov 3.

94%
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74%
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96%
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35%
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12%
-3% last 24h

33%
-8% last 24h
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