Will at least one bank headquartered in Iran be newly sanctioned by the U.S.?

77%
+25% last 24h

86%
Stable · last 24h
YES if two or more independent reputable news outlets or an official Saudi statement report that the same Saudi oil pipeline reported shut on Sept. 12 is not in service (not carrying crude oil) no later than 00:00 on September 19, 2026 (Arabia Standard Time). "Not in service" means reports explicitly describe the pipeline as "closed", "shut", "out of service" or equivalent; reports of only a temporary pressure fluctuation or partial flow do not count. If sources conflict, the consensus of two or more independent reputable outlets decides, and an exact tie resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 18, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 19, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 86%, based on 58 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the lack of credible reports confirming the pipeline's status from reputable sources, it’s likely to remain closed. I'm betting on it staying shut.

77%
+25% last 24h

72%
Stable · last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

48%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

32%
Stable · last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy