Will at least one bank headquartered in Iran be newly sanctioned by the U.S.?

77%
+25% last 24h

48%
Stable · last 24h
YES if two or more independent authoritative news organizations contemporaneously report that one or more clearly identified ICE officers, whether in uniform or otherwise clearly identified as ICE personnel, were physically present at any official polling location inside the City and County of Denver while polls were open on November 3, 2026. Passing vehicle sightings, unverified social-media claims, reports that do not identify the personnel as ICE, or reports limited to non-ICE federal or local law enforcement do not count. Preferred sources include contemporaneous coverage from independent outlets and statements from Denver Elections or other official local authorities, but reporting by two independent outlets is sufficient to resolve.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 3, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 4, 2026. The outcome will be settled against san.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 48%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
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77%
+25% last 24h

72%
Stable · last 24h

41%
Stable · last 24h

86%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

32%
Stable · last 24h
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