Will a public protest or march take place in Paris on October 31?

95%
Stable · last 24h

50%
Stable · last 24h
YES if two or more independent authoritative news organizations contemporaneously report that one or more clearly identified ICE officers, whether in uniform or otherwise clearly identified as ICE personnel, were physically present at any official polling location inside the City and County of Denver while polls were open on November 3, 2026. Passing vehicle sightings, unverified social-media claims, reports that do not identify the personnel as ICE, or reports limited to non-ICE federal or local law enforcement do not count. Preferred sources include contemporaneous coverage from independent outlets and statements from Denver Elections or other official local authorities, but reporting by two independent outlets is sufficient to resolve.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 3, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 4, 2026. The outcome will be settled against san.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 50%, based on 415 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIce is everywhere
Given the current political climate and the potential for increased monitoring at polling places, I think it's plausible that ICE could have a presence. Definitely possible with such a tight window ahead.

95%
Stable · last 24h

74%
Stable · last 24h

94%
Stable · last 24h

33%
+21% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h
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