Will at least one bank headquartered in Iran be newly sanctioned by the U.S.?

77%
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72%
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YES if an official BRICS leaders' final joint communiqué published no later than 18:00 on September 13, 2026 (India time) contains the words "United States" or "U.S." (case-insensitive), and two or more independent authoritative news outlets report that communiqué. Preferably the official BRICS communiqué or the Indian Ministry of External Affairs will serve as pointers, but ordinary reporting by multiple independent reputable outlets also suffices. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 72%, based on 53 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timing, it's highly likely the BRICS leaders will mention "United States" or "U.S." in the final communiqué. They know the stakes and media will cover it.

77%
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41%
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86%
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48%
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64%
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32%
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