🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 28 · Results Oct 30
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PoliticsOpened Sep 12 · Results Sep 13
Will the BRICS leaders' final communiqué include the words "United States" or "U.S."?
83%
Stable · last 24h
📊 312 bettors💎 10.3K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Sep 13🤖 Context
The market required an official BRICS leaders' final joint communiqué, published no later than 18:00 IST on September 13, 2026, to include the words 'United States' or 'U.S.' and to be reported by at least two independent authoritative outlets. A joint declaration, the New Delhi Declaration, was adopted and published during the summit and widely reported, but multiple independent credible news organizations explicitly said the communiqué avoided naming any country and did not include the words 'United States' or 'U.S.'. Because the final communiqué did not contain those terms by the deadline, the condition was not met and the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No83%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 83% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: A BRICS leaders’ joint declaration (the New Delhi Declaration) was adopted and published during the summit, and it was widely reported by major outlets. However, multiple independent, credible news organizations explicitly report that the communiqué avoided naming any country and specifically did not name the United States. Therefore, the requirement that the final communiqué “contains the words ‘United States’ or ‘U.S.’” was not met by the deadline.
Source: reuters.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 83%
- Predictions made
- 312
- Credits staked
- 10,279
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Sep 12, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 13, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 16, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- reuters.com, aljazeera.com, dw.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 2 comments
- 🐼
I'm going intentionally no, and going for the big points.
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given the timing, it's highly likely the BRICS leaders will mention "United States" or "U.S." in the final communiqué. They know the stakes and media will cover it.
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