Will Missouri use the Republican-backed congressional map for ballots in the November general election?

42%
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62%
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YES if credible reporting by at least two independent major news outlets (for example AP, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post) or official records show the U.S. House adopted the Russia sanctions package described in the linked article no later than September 18, 2026. Preferably adoption will be shown by the Clerk of the U.S. House roll call or floor record and/or the bill status/text on Congress.gov, but two or more independent outlets reporting the House adopted the same package is sufficient. If the House only voted on a materially different measure, or never held a floor vote on that package by the deadline, the market resolves NO. A voice vote counts as passage only if at least two independent major outlets report adoption and the Clerk or Congress.gov publishes the adopted measure.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 19, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 62%, based on 7 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the current bipartisan support and urgency surrounding Russia sanctions, I expect the House to pass this package before the deadline. Reporting from multiple sources should back this up.

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36%
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63%
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43%
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57%
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77%
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