Will the PP poll ahead of the PSOE on Oct 7?

🤖 Context

YES if the most recent row of the "Main voting-intention" national table on the Wikipedia page "Opinion polling for the next Spanish general election", as it appears at 00:00 CEST on 7 October 2026, shows the People's Party (PP) with a strictly higher numeric percentage than the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE). Ties count as NO, and if that top row does not report separate national percentage figures for both parties (for example because it is regional, a seats-only projection, a coalition-only figure, or shows '—'), the market resolves NO. Use the pollster's official published results or reporting by major Spanish national outlets (RTVE, El País, El Mundo, La Vanguardia) as evidence, and use the percentages as printed in the poll row without extra rounding.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against en.wikipedia.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 46%, based on 448 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

46%

Predictions made

448

Credits staked

9,553

Comments

2

Opened

Sep 22, 2026

Closes

Oct 6, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 6, 2026

Resolution source

en.wikipedia.org

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 6, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 6, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 46% and NO 54%, based on 448 predictions and 9.6K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against en.wikipedia.org once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the PP poll ahead of the PSOE on Oct 7?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the PP poll ahead of the PSOE on Oct 7?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.