Will at least 12 signs criticizing the Smithsonian National Museum of American History be put up on its exterior grounds?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than October 15, 2026, two or more independent, authoritative news outlets report that the U.S. Department of the Interior or an Interior‑authorized contractor has placed, or that the Department publicly confirmed placement of, twelve or more distinct signs, plaques, or mounted displays on the exterior grounds of the Smithsonian National Museum of American History that explicitly criticize the museum. Exterior grounds means outdoors on property controlled by the Smithsonian or the Department of the Interior immediately adjacent to the museum building and excludes interior displays and privately placed protest signs. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against san.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 48%, based on 455 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

48%

Predictions made

455

Credits staked

11,112

Comments

2

Opened

Sep 19, 2026

Closes

Oct 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 16, 2026

Resolution source

san.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 48% and NO 52%, based on 455 predictions and 11.1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against san.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least 12 signs criticizing the Smithsonian National Museum of American History be put up on its exterior grounds?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least 12 signs criticizing the Smithsonian National Museum of American History be put up on its exterior grounds?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.