Will the US carry out additional military strikes in or directly over the Strait of Hormuz?

53%
-1% last 24h

22%
Stable · last 24h
Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Nov 18YES if the Commission des affaires culturelles et de l'éducation of the Assemblée nationale formally voted in committee to recommend that the petition calling for the suppression of CNews be debated in the hémicycle no later than November 17, 2026. Otherwise NO. • Only committee votes cast on or after November 6, 2026 count. • If the commission instead voted to close/classify the petition, only appointed a rapporteur, or referred the matter to the Conférence des présidents without recommending a debate, the market resolves NO. • Source: the commission's published minutes on assemblee-nationale.fr, or reporting by two or more independent authoritative news outlets (for example AFP, Le Monde, Franceinfo, Reuters).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lcp.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 22%, based on 860 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settled
53%
-1% last 24h

33%
Stable · last 24h

53%
Stable · last 24h

51%
-2% last 24h

10%
Stable · last 24h

43%
Stable · last 24h
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