Will total area burned by wildfires in Europe in 2026 exceed 500,000 hectares?

87%
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64%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 23This market will resolve to YES if the FDA approves the subcutaneous formulation of Sarclisa (isatuximab) for the treatment of multiple myeloma by July 23, 2026. It will resolve to NO if the FDA does not approve it by that date.
How markets are built and settled64%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 64% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent news outlets in the supplied evidence report that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration approved a subcutaneous formulation of Sarclisa (isatuximab), marketed as Sarclisa Escena, for use in multiple myeloma. Several items explicitly state the FDA granted approval on July 10, 2026 (citing Sanofi’s press release and the pivotal IRAKLIA data); these consistent reports in the provided evidence show the approval occurred prior to the July 23, 2026 cutoff.
Source: pharmacytimes.comSources used to resolve this market
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