Will Starship 'Ship 40' be secured on a recovery vessel or towed to port/barge?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than August 25, 2026, authoritative public reporting (for example a SpaceX press release or an official maritime incident report from the relevant coastal-state maritime authority or the U.S. Coast Guard) states that Ship 40 was physically secured aboard a salvage or recovery vessel or was towed to and delivered to a port or barge, with photographic or video evidence or an authoritative statement confirming the transfer. Otherwise NO. Intentional scuttling or sinking before any securing or towing counts as NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 26, 2026. The outcome will be settled against numerama.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 78%, based on 73 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

78%

Predictions made

73

Credits staked

1,514

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 10, 2026

Closes

Aug 14, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 26, 2026

Resolution source

numerama.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 26, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 78% and NO 22%, based on 73 predictions and 1.5K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against numerama.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Starship 'Ship 40' be secured on a recovery vessel or towed to port/barge?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Starship 'Ship 40' be secured on a recovery vessel or towed to port/barge?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.